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Can Ilia Topuria retain his title, how can Max Holloway become the new champion again, and what are we most intrigued by in this matchup? Let’s dive in.
Photo by Chris Unger/Zuffa LLC via Getty Images Paths to Victory for Ilia Topuria at UFC 308
Max Holloway is a cheater.
MMA is supposed to be an honorable combat sport, where two men step into a cage to find out who is the better, more skilled fighter. This is why fighters get so bent out of shape about Performance Enhancing Drugs because when one fighter takes them and the other doesn’t, it constitutes an unfair advantage. Well, Max Holloway also has an unfair advantage in every fight he’s in: he’s impossible to hurt.
Holloway’s chin is made of some alloy of adamantium and mithril. Through 29 UFC bouts and nearly eight hours of octagon time, Holloway has never officially been knocked down (I say officially because Justin Gaethje 100 percent did drop him, and the stat keepers are idiots) much less out. He’s fought some of the heaviest hitters across two weight classes and they can’t dent him. That’s astonishing, to put it mildly. It’s also cheating because if you cannot be killed, then what chance does your opponent have?!
Well, that chance is in out-working Holloway tactically over 25 minutes, as Alexander Volkanovski did three times. That’s the task ahead for Topuria in his first title defense.
In broad terms, over their first two fights, Volkanovski was able to edge out Holloway with feints, footwork, a sturdy jab, and a bevy of low kicks, both inside and outside. Then in their third encounters, Volkanovski simply whipped his ass with those same tools, plus a renewed willingness to throw in combination, with power. And fortunately for Topuria, he can do all of those things.
Topuria does not generally throw a lot of leg kicks, but I expect that to change for this fight. The champion is certainly capable of throwing them, and they’re a huge weapon both to score and to stifle Holloway’s movement as Topuria tries to back him to the fence. More importantly though, I think the best thing Topuria can do in this fight is commit to body work early and often.
Holloway’s game is built off of his jab and so to beat him, that needs to be priority one. Volkanovski solved that with low kicks and while Topuria should do those as well, he also has the opportunity to change his level under the jab and hit to the body with his own jab or right hand. It’s an excellent weapon to both move Holloway back, square him up, and create openings for going up high in combination. That is the sort of offense that will really get to Holloway and put him behind the eight ball early.
As mentioned, Holloway’s chin is nigh uncrackable, and while that doesn’t mean Topuria should abandon attacking it entirely, it’s ambitious to think all he needs to do to beat Holloway is get him along the fence and lower the boom. Instead, Topuria needs to be prepared for a drawn-out contest where he simply out-scoring Holloway by attacking all levels available.
Photo by Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC via Getty Images Paths to victory for Max Holloway at UFC 308
For years, Max Holloway has claimed to have the best boxing in the UFC. Well, that’s about to be put to the test once again.
Though he is only 27 years old, Ilia Topuria already has some of the best boxing in MMA. He has excellent pressure footwork, cuts angles, throws in combination, works all levels of the body and head, and packs ludicrous power. It’s a game designed to walk down opponents, seize the initiative, and level them with efficiency. But it’s not without its weaknesses.
At this point the book is out on kicking Topuria on the open side. Volkanovski, Josh Emmett, and even Jai Herbert all made a point of popping left kicks into the body and up to the head. Topuria employs a high and tight boxing guard, and wants to walk opponents down and these kicks make that more difficult by setting a longer range, outside of his punching threat, or by simply keeping his guard locked in to defend.
In a similar vein, Holloway should also look to kick the legs. Though Topuria ultimately clubbed him with a combination, Volkanovski had decent success against Topuria early by moving around on angles and chopping the lead leg. Given his heavy boxing stance and the frequency with which Topuria uses feints and level changes, it’s a good scoring tool for Holloway.
Lastly, and this would be a relatively new one for Holloway, would be for Max to look for clinches. Holloway does solid work when he’s forced into the clinch but never seeks it out, and so against Topuria that could be a good wrinkle, especially as Topuria himself isn’t a focused clinch fighter. Volkanovski landed good knees in the clinch and Holloway could have similar success.
One Big Thing
The outcome of most high level fights depends on dozens of different things, but frankly, it’s a lot to list all of those out. Instead, let’s simplify things by determining the One Big Thing that will determine Saturday’s winner.
Who seizes the initiative?
Both Topuria and Holloway prefer to fight on the front foot, taking the initiative and leading the dance. For Topuria, it’s imposing pressure and physicality to maneuver opponents back to the fence, cut off their escape routes, and level them. For Holloway, it’s simply to force opponents to the back foot where he has more freedom to work in long combinations against retreating forces. But in both cases, both men want to be leading the dance and whoever wins this battle of wills should win the fight.
One Small Thing
Now we know the single most important factor of Saturday’s main event, but what about something else entirely that almost certainly won’t happen but if it does could change everything.
Stand your ground.
May fighters have signature moves but Holloway has perhaps the coolest one in MMA history: pointing to the ground and beckoning a brawl in the last 10 seconds of a fight. Earlier this year it lead to one of the greatest knockouts of all-time, and as a result, Topuria even challenged Holloway to start their fight off like that. Holloway already vetoed this idea, but what if he doesn’t? Honestly, this might be a very good strategy for Holloway as his unbreakable chin gives him a decided advantage in any wild firefight like that.
Prediction
I fear this may be a difficult fight for Max Holloway. “Blessed” has had a remarkable career and his win over Justin Gaethje at UFC 300 will live forever, but upon closer inspection that victory has some of the trappings of an all-time great fighter proving his bonafides despite declining. Meanwhile, Topuria is not yet in his best or final form and was able to Volkanovski — a man who beat Holloway three times — with relative ease. And given that Holloway isn’t nearly as good on the back foot as Volkanovski is, the most likely scenario to mean seems to be Topuria bullying Holloway around the cage for 25 minutes.
Holloway is an exceptional fighter and if he can defy the odds on Saturday, it will be an all-time great performance, but I think we’re living in the Topuria era now.
Ilia Topuria def. Max Holloway via unanimous decision (49-46, 49-46, 49-46).
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Merab Dvalishvili still believes Sean O’Malley deserves a rematch before Umar Nurmagomedov gets his chance to fight for UFC gold.
Dvalishvili captured the bantamweight title with a unanimous decision win over O’Malley at UFC 306 in September. Following the win, it appeared the surging Nurmagomedov would be next in line after his dominant win over Cory Sandhagen at UFC Abu Dhabi, but reports have circulated that Nurmagomedov and Song Yadong are in talks for a bout. Multiple people with knowledge of the promotion’s plans confirmed to MMA Fighting recently that, as of now, the fight is not a done deal.
At Friday’s UFC 308 fan Q&A, Dvalishvili was asked by a fan why he’s afraid to face Nurmagomedov, and leaning more towards a rematch with O’Malley.
Merab crashed out after this fan said he’s ducking Umar
“Boo this guy!… Where is [Umar], tell me!…
You know what, Umar doesn’t deserve to fight me. Sean O’Malley deserves to fight me… Umar has to prove [himself].”#UFC #MMA
pic.twitter.com/SNGt0AK2tt
— Championship Rounds (@ChampRDS) October 25, 2024
“Let’s boo to this guy,” Dvalishvili said. “I’m not scared of no one, only God.
“Where is this guy? He’s taking [another] fight. He’s scared. He’s fighting somebody else. Where is [he]? Where is [he]? Tell me. He wants to get knocked out by somebody else, and then he’s going to make excuse. He’s not going to make this fight. I’m not making fight. Dana White and Hunter [Campbell] make decision [for] who I’m going to fight next. I don’t know. I don’t make decision. I never make decision.”
So what will ultimately be next for the new bantamweight champion? Dvalishvili says he’ll let the UFC brass make the determination. But if it were his call, “The Machine” says O’Malley should be the rightful foe, as Nurmagomedov has more to show before getting his opportunity.
“If Dana White tells me I have to fight Umar, I’m fighting Umar, OK?,’ Dvalishvili said. “But, you know what? Umar doesn’t deserve to fight me. Sean O’Malley deserves to fight me, and I’m going to rematch him. He deserves it, and after, Umar has to prove [himself], and I will fight him.”
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Welterweight
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With the UFC 308 early (and official) weigh ins already in the books (get full results and video here), the cast and crew of tomorrow’s (Sat., Oct. 26, 2024) “Topuria vs. Holloway” pay-per-view (PPV) mixed martial arts (MMA) event will head to Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi, UAE, for the ceremonial weigh ins and corresponding staredowns, streaming LIVE at 10 a.m. ET (7 a.m. PT) in the embedded video above. UFC 308 will be headlined by the featherweight title fight between current 145-pound champion Ilia Topuria and former division kingpin Max Holloway. In the UFC 308 co-headliner, former 185-pound champion Robert Whittaker collides with undefeated middleweight phenom Khamzat Chimaev.
“He doesn’t even know what to say anymore,” Topuria said during the UFC 308 press conference. “Why doesn’t he talk about what we’re here to do? Which is the fight. That’s because he doesn’t see any flaws i me. He doesn’t know where to grab from. He knows I’m much better than him, and now he has to resort to other things, just like when Conor (McGregor) was saying I wasn’t Spanish. Because I don’t have any flaws as a fighter, and I’m much better than them, they go to that. But we’ll see on Saturday, he shows up, and I’m shutting his mouth.”
MMAmania.com will deliver LIVE round-by-round, blow-by-blow coverage of the entire UFC 308 fight card RIGHT HERE, starting with the early ESPN+ “Prelims” matches at 10 a.m. ET, followed by the UFC 308 PPV main card start time at 2 p.m. ET on ESPN+.
To check out the latest and greatest UFC 308: “Topuria vs. Holloway” news and notes be sure to hit up our comprehensive event archive right here. For the complete UFC 308 fight card and PPV lineup click here.
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Welcome to r/mma's weigh-in and pre-fight discussion of UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway, from Abu Dhabi, Dubai, United Arab Emirates! Please keep the fight discussions in here. We also have a fight thread in our Kbin community for those who would prefer not to use Reddit but would still like to talk about the fights.
Card Info
Airing on Saturday 10.26.2024
Main Card on PPV @ 2PM ET
| Division | Fighters |
|---|---|
| Featherweight | Ilia Topuria vs. Max Holloway |
| Middleweight | Robert Whittaker vs. Khamzat Chimaev |
| Light Heavyweight | Magomed Ankalaev vs. Aleksandar Rakić |
| Featherweight | Lerone Murphy vs. Dan Ige |
| Middleweight | Shara Magomedov vs. Armen Petrosyan |
Prelims on ESPN+ @ 10AM ET
| Division | Fighters |
|---|---|
| Welterweight | Geoff Neal vs. Rafael dos Anjos |
| Lightweight | Myktybek Orolbai vs. Mateusz Rębecki |
| Middleweight | Abus Magomedov vs. Brunno Ferreira |
| Heavyweight | Kennedy Nzechukwu vs. Chris Barnett |
| Bantamweight | Farid Basharat vs. Victor Hugo |
| Middleweight | Bruno Silva vs. Ismail Naurdiev |
| Welterweight | Rinat Fakhretdinov vs. Carlos Leal |
| Light Heavyweight | Ibo Aslan vs. Raffael Cerqueira |
Fight card order and start times may be inaccurate.
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| Reddit: Reddit Stream, General Discussion, Flair bets |
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Enjoy the fights! Get HYPE!
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The anticipated clash between Ilia Topuria and Max Holloway at UFC 308 is almost here.
The other fighters at UFC 308 media day gave their opinions on how it will all go down at the Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi on Saturday afternoon.
Ilia Topuria (15-0) makes his first title defense at the event. Topuria won the belt in his last trip to the Octagon when he knocked out Alexander Volkanovski in the second round at UFC 298 this past February.
Holloway (26-7) has won four of his last five fights. The former UFC champion is coming off of one of the most iconic performances of his career when he delivered a fifth-round knockout of Justin Gaethje in the UFC 300 main event to win the “BMF” title belt. He earned Performance of the Night and Fight of the Night honors for this memorable clash.
Holloway has had three title shots since he last had the belt at UFC 240, coming up short each time against Volkanovski.
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UFC 308 takes place on Saturday, and MMA News is here to bring you the final faceoffs from the ceremonial weigh-ins!
The upcoming pay-per-view event at the Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates provides a chance for UFC Featherweight Champion Ilia Topuria to further enhance his legacy on mixed martial arts’ biggest stage.
After capturing the gold this past February by brutally knocking out the previously long-reigning Alexander Volkanovski, “El Matador” is next tasked with stalling Max Holloway’s ambitions of a return to the 145-pound mountaintop.
The stakes will also be high in the co-main event, which will see former middleweight champ Robert Whittaker look to secure another shot at regaining the crown by blemishing the currently perfect professional record of Khamzat Chimaev.
Elsewhere on the UFC 308 card, Magomed Ankalaev and Aleksandar Rakić do battle for a potential shot at Alex Pereira’s light heavyweight title, Dan Ige becomes the latest threat to Lerone Murphy’s ‘O’, and middleweight prospect Shara Magomedov looks to impress once again.
Ahead of the event, all 26 fighters successfully made weight but two bouts did undergo late adjustments. Nevertheless, every fight has remained intact, and all that remains on Friday is for the athletes to face off one final time at the UFC 308 ceremonial weigh-ins!
Check out a live stream via the official UFC YouTube channel below, commencing at 10 a.m. ET.
UFC 308 Ceremonial Weigh-In Live Stream
Continue Reading UFC 308: Ilia Topuria vs. Max Holloway Ceremonial Weigh-In Live Stream at MMA News.
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